Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.055698 0.063305 0.071182 0.079920 0.089310 0.099070 0.109953
2025-03-30 0.044266 0.055559 0.067951 0.082418 0.098703 0.116342 0.136762
2025-04-06 0.037255 0.050932 0.066684 0.085829 0.108145 0.133039 0.162615
2025-04-13 0.030437 0.045261 0.063140 0.085679 0.112762 0.143737 0.181327
2025-04-20 0.027914 0.044312 0.064791 0.091304 0.123850 0.161711 0.208318
2025-04-27 0.022876 0.039399 0.060927 0.089682 0.125844 0.168717 0.222317
2025-05-04 0.020456 0.037647 0.060813 0.092500 0.133076 0.181848 0.243501
2025-05-11 0.017245 0.034337 0.058282 0.091917 0.135841 0.189420 0.257947
2025-05-18 0.015556 0.033043 0.058317 0.094557 0.142592 0.201831 0.278249
2025-05-25 0.013899 0.031573 0.057935 0.096511 0.148382 0.213020 0.297079
2025-06-01 0.011372 0.028328 0.054708 0.094334 0.148591 0.217086 0.307047
2025-06-08 0.009150 0.025239 0.051423 0.091829 0.148167 0.220201 0.315728
2025-06-15 0.008368 0.024755 0.052236 0.095385 0.156242 0.234673 0.339302
2025-06-22 0.007371 0.023726 0.052139 0.097644 0.162654 0.247178 0.360672
2025-06-29 0.006736 0.023321 0.052996 0.101297 0.171016 0.262299 0.385500
2025-07-06 0.005544 0.021499 0.051349 0.101093 0.173965 0.270326 0.401322
2025-07-13 0.005463 0.022154 0.053918 0.107323 0.185987 0.290380 0.432670
2025-07-20 0.004280 0.019952 0.051350 0.105522 0.186580 0.295267 0.444513
2025-07-27 0.003866 0.019568 0.051959 0.108645 0.194187 0.309520 0.468517
2025-08-03 0.003089 0.017993 0.050252 0.107999 0.196309 0.316395 0.482951
2025-08-10 0.002767 0.017636 0.050781 0.110922 0.203614 0.330286 0.506593
2025-08-17 0.002412 0.017075 0.050862 0.113084 0.209800 0.342677 0.528317
2025-08-24 0.001758 0.015243 0.048260 0.110675 0.209127 0.345636 0.537572